Business

India’s services sector likely to nearly triple to $6 trillion by 2035

India’s services sector, now contributing about $2.2 trillion to gross domestic product (GDP), is expected to grow to about $6 trillion by 2035, implying a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 10.6 per cent, a report said on Tuesday.

India’s services sector driving economic growth

The huge surge will increase services’ share of GDP to nearly 60 per cent while it currently accounts for about 55 per cent of GDP, the report from OmniScience Capital said.

The report highlighted the growing dominance of India’s services sector “as the country progresses toward becoming a $10 trillion economy by 2035, translating into a roughly $6 trillion economic opportunity.”

The report highlighted the services sector as the largest and fastest-growing component of India’s Gross Value Added, delivering a 10-year CAGR of over 10 per cent and 3-year CAGR of 13.5 per cent, higher than other economic segments.

Key segments leading growth in India’s services sector

Within services, financial, real estate and business services led growth with a 10‑year CAGR of 11.3 per cent and three‑year growth of 14 per cent. Similarly, public administration, defence and other services have maintained consistent double-digit growth, reflecting sustained government spending.

India’s Services PMI has shifted into a higher expansionary range, rising from roughly 50–55 between 2015–2020 to about 55–60 in recent years, indicating stronger and sustained growth in service activity.

India’s share of global services exports rose from 1.9 per cent in 2005 to 4.3 per cent in 2023.

Investment opportunities in India’s services sector

The firm highlighted banks funding India’s capex cycle, logistics scaling toward a roughly $1 trillion opportunity by 2035, IT services retaining long-term structural strength despite near-term pressures, as well as professional and commercial services benefiting from rising formalisation and digitalisation of business services.

India’s listed universe offers a broad and diversified opportunity set across services industries, with over 470 listed services companies above market-cap more than Rs 800 Cr with a combined market capitalisation of nearly Rs 197 trillion, it noted.

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Frequently asked questions:

1.What is India’s services sector growth forecast?

India’s services sector is expected to reach $6 trillion by 2035.

2.What is the current contribution of services sector to GDP?

It currently contributes around 55% to India’s GDP.

3.Which sectors are driving growth?

Financial services, IT, logistics and business services are leading growth.

4.What is India’s share in global services exports?

India’s share increased to 4.3% in 2023.

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